2019-2029 Employment Projections 2019-2029 Employment Projections

Oregon to Add Nearly 182,000 New Jobs by 2029

Oregon's job growth will total 9 percent between 2019 and 2029. Private payrolls are expected to grow by 156,400 (9%), while government employment will increase by 16,500 (5%), and self-employment will grow by 8,900 (8%).

For every new job added by growing and expanding businesses, Oregon employers will have another nine job openings requiring newly trained workers to replace those who leave the labor force or make a major occupational change.

Health Care Leads Long-Term Employment Growth

Private health care and social assistance sector will add the most jobs of any sector in Oregon by 2029. Health care will also grow at the fastest rate, and account for nearly one out of every four new jobs in Oregon over the decade.

Some Private Industries Will Not Reach Peak Employment

Some private industries will not regain peak employment by 2029. Manufacturing should grow by 5 percent to 207,600 jobs. That's slightly above its most recent peak of 207,300 jobs in 2006, but it is still below its all-time high of 228,600 jobs in 1998.

Financial activities should grow by 1 percent to 104,300, below its height of 106,600 in 2007. Information sector employment should grow to 37,900, about 2,000 jobs below its last peak in 2001.

Most Industries Projected to Gain Jobs, Some Will Lose

Detailed industries with the fastest job gains over the next 10 years include warehousing and storage, computer systems design, and offices of other health practitioners. Those with the biggest expected declines include newspaper publishers, clothing stores, and paper manufacturing.

Declining Industries

Several industry groups with the biggest projected losses relate to the production and distribution of various paper-related products and retail trade. These include newspaper publishers, printing, sawmills, pulp and paper mills, electronics stores, clothing stores, and jewelry stores.

Job Openings by Industry

Private health care and social assistance and accommodation and food services are expected to add the highest number of job openings between 2019 and 2029. Most job openings are projected due to the need to replace workers leaving their occupations.

Nine out of 10 total job openings are expected to be due to the need to replace workers who retire, leave the labor force for other reasons, or make a major occupational change, with the remaining openings due to new or expanding businesses.

Occupational Openings in Oregon

One out of four projected job openings over the next 10 years is expected to be a service-related job. While service-related jobs will gain the most in level terms, health care-related occupations will have the fastest growth rate. All broad occupational categories in Oregon are expected to add jobs over the next 10 years.

Fastest-Growing Occupational Groups

Health care occupational groups are projected to grow the fastest. The employment growth in the health care occupational groups will be driven by the demand for health care services by aging baby boomers and people who have chronic conditions.

Fastest-Growing Occupational Groups

Health care occupations and those associated with health care (including mental health) account for 13 of the 20 fastest growing occupations from 2019 to 2029.

Occupational Projections

Service occupations are expected to have the most job openings over the next 10 years, but job openings will be plentiful in many different occupational groups.

Use this chart to explore job openings in major occupational groups and individual occupation. Click on a category to drill down and explore.

Typical Entry-Level Education

In 2019, six out of 10 jobs in Oregon typically required a minimum of high school education or less. To meet more competitive requirements for Oregon's jobs, six out of 10 required education beyond high school.

Typical Competitive Education

In 2019, six out of 10 jobs in Oregon typically required a minimum of high school education or less. To meet more competitive requirements for Oregon's jobs, six out of 10 required education beyond high school.

Projected Growth Rate by Entry-Level Education

Occupations that require higher levels of education for entry tend to grow faster. Master's degree occupations are the fastest-growing set of occupations (+13.4%) and high school diploma occupations are the slowest-growing set of occupations (+5.9%).

Employment Projections by Region

All areas of Oregon are expected to add jobs between 2019 and 2029. The two areas projected to grow faster than Oregon's rate of 9 percent are Central Oregon (12%) and Portland tri-county area (11%).

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Employment Projections Contact Employment Projections Contact

Contact: Felicia Bechtoldt
  Projections Economist
Phone: (971) 718-6927
Email: felicia.bechtoldt@oregon.gov
Address: 875 Union St NE
  Salem, OR 97311